Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -175 NCSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -3.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -3.5 (-4.5) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -3.3 (-4.3) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -3.7 (-4.7) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -4.1 (-5.1) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NCSU 98 – 88 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NCSU 81 – 72 PITT |
| Mar 6, 2025 | NCSU 71 – 63 PITT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | PITT 81 – 73 NCSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PITT 67 – 64 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#79) | 6.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#84) | 0.31 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#84) | 0.66 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#145) | 0.486 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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