Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SCU +120 LMU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -1.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -0.2 (-2.8) | 133.0 (+16.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -1.6 (-1.4) | 136.7 (+12.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -0.8 (-2.2) | 134.9 (+14.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -0.6 (-2.4) | 134.4 (+14.6) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-5 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-3 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#183) | 3.3 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#72) | 1.03 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#116) | 1.07 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#57) | 0.516 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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