Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -250 WCU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -8.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -8.6 (-0.6) | 143.6 (+26.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -6.7 (+1.3) | 143.3 (+26.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -9.6 (-1.6) | 145.0 (+25.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -8.4 (-0.4) | 143.5 (+26.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-8 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 4-13 |
| Home | 9-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 9-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#142) | -4.3 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#92) | -0.64 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#111) | -0.81 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#77) | 0.462 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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