Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -10000 VAL +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +2 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -22.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -16.5 (-14.5) | 127.6 (-21.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -17.9 (-15.9) | 129.9 (-23.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -18.9 (-16.9) | 130.4 (-24.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -18.6 (-16.6) | 130.2 (-24.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2022 | LUC 71 – 69 VAL |
| Jan 12, 2022 | LUC 81 – 74 VAL |
| Jan 21, 2021 | LUC 75 – 39 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-0 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#10) | -3.7 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#37) | -0.94 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#30) | -1.11 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#35) | 0.437 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.