Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +750 KU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +18 | 100 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -14.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -12.2 (-5.8) | 136.7 (-36.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -11.7 (-6.3) | 134.3 (-34.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -13.0 (-5.0) | 137.0 (-37.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -13.1 (-4.9) | 137.9 (-37.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-12 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#225) | 13.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#226) | 2.91 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#233) | 3.31 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#241) | 0.601 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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