Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS +100 USU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -2.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.7 (+5.3) | 140.2 (+8.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -1.3 (+7.7) | 136.8 (+12.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.1 (+4.9) | 139.5 (+9.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.1 (+4.9) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 20-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#46) | 11.1 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#33) | 1.47 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#48) | 1.69 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#13) | 0.564 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 78.2% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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