I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Big South Conference · The Dedmon Center · February 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RAD -3.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money RAD -150 / GWEB +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total RAD win
Actual GWEB +28 126 Lost
Massey RAD -2.5 (-30.5) — —
Massey Totals — 133.3 (-7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RAD -2.2 (-30.2) 134.5 (-8.5) 63% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RAD -2.3 (-30.3) 131.1 (-5.1) 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RAD -2.3 (-30.3) 134.1 (-8.1) 63% ✗
Baseline ML RAD -2.4 (-30.4) 134.1 (-8.1) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 RAD 82 – 70 GWEB
Jan 15, 2026 RAD 89 – 80 GWEB
Feb 27, 2025 RAD 63 – 56 GWEB
Jan 16, 2025 RAD 79 – 75 GWEB
Feb 23, 2024 RAD 90 – 74 GWEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RAD GWEB
Overall 15-12 11-15
Conference 12-6 10-10
Home 9-5 7-4
Away 6-6 4-11
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.2 70.7
Avg Pts Against 65.8 68.4
Massey -1.5 (#186) -1.4 (#185)
Bradley-Terry -0.73 (#230) -1.66 (#299)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#227) -1.69 (#277)
RPI 0.505 (#159) 0.458 (#233)
Shooting & Four Factors RAD GWEB
FG% 45.5% 44.2%
3PT% 30.3% 36.2%
REB / G 37.3 34.4
OREB / G 10.8 9.1
AST / TO 0.70 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 52.2%
TOV% 23.1% 17.8%
ORB% 33.8% 26.1%
FT Rate 27.7% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 18.2%
DRB% 75.9% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.5% 26.8%

Game Analysis

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