Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -450 CIT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -8.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.9 (+7.1) | 154.0 (-6.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -6.0 (+8.0) | 152.8 (-4.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.3 (+7.7) | 155.2 (-7.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.6 (+7.4) | 153.3 (-5.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#129) | -3.0 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#116) | -0.17 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#120) | -0.10 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#104) | 0.481 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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