Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNI +188 DRKE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -10.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -7.7 (-0.3) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -9.3 (+1.3) | 138.6 (+7.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -8.8 (+0.8) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -8.2 (+0.2) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#194) | 11.0 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#229) | 2.37 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#218) | 2.18 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#188) | 0.549 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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