Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +163 UK -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -2.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -0.6 (-3.4) | 142.5 (+17.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -0.7 (-3.3) | 139.7 (+20.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -1.1 (-2.9) | 143.0 (+17.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -1.2 (-2.8) | 143.2 (+16.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 8-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#121) | 8.5 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#178) | 0.82 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#145) | 1.60 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#242) | 0.524 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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