I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–9 on winners spread MAE 9.6 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech +22.3 132.8 90% 51–79 ✓
Purdue @ Rutgers +4.6 138.4 71% 76–81 ✓
Florida State @ Clemson +5.6 130.0 63% 67–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ USC +15.3 140.6 85% 63–86 ✓
South Florida @ Memphis +4.8 137.5 72% 57–58 ✓
Texas A&M @ LSU +12.6 141.0 86% 54–77 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer +9.3 136.3 80% 78–65 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +1.7 152.2 55% 87–60 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Lamar -2.1 137.2 43% 64–74 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas State +7.9 137.5 80% 58–60 ✓
Utah Tech @ Gonzaga +22.2 159.8 90% 67–112 ✓
Houston @ Tulsa -6.5 128.7 29% 64–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +8.1 160.8 81% 72–87 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +0.0 136.9 59% 64–82 ✓
VCU @ Saint Joseph's -8.4 152.3 19% 80–64 ✓
Manhattan @ Delaware State +1.1 139.7 33% 65–59 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham — — — 71–47 —
Furman @ Chattanooga -0.6 146.7 37% 77–73 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ohio +7.8 153.0 72% 83–75 ✗
SMU @ Temple -8.0 140.4 26% 79–71 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Hampton -1.7 142.8 51% 69–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Baylor +24.8 161.1 91% 76–105 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +0.2 140.1 51% 80–73 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +17.0 145.4 90% 83–84 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State — — — 59–81 —
St. Bonaventure @ Rhode Island +1.4 142.4 63% 57–63 ✓
Butler @ Providence +6.6 137.3 75% 55–71 ✓
Radford @ Presbyterian -2.3 126.2 40% 71–65 ✓
Virginia @ Notre Dame -7.9 134.9 21% 66–57 ✓
George Mason @ Massachusetts +8.4 146.2 77% 93–92 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +8.7 147.8 81% 52–63 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +9.4 141.3 82% 54–90 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.