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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–7 on winners spread MAE 9.2 34 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Abilene Christian @ Texas Tech	+8.6	131.4	80%	44–51	✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Arizona	—	—	—	60–85	—
North Carolina A&T @ VCU	+16.2	141.5	88%	59–95	✓
Stony Brook @ Hofstra	+5.1	138.5	76%	67–72	✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Valparaiso	+5.5	134.5	66%	58–80	✓
Marshall @ Charleston	—	—	—	84–72	—
Eastern Illinois @ Evansville	+0.5	141.4	47%	65–68	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Arkansas State	+11.1	143.3	77%	75–74	✗
Lamar @ UL Monroe	+10.0	141.7	82%	63–60	✗
Chattanooga @ Bellarmine	+0.1	137.6	32%	77–68	✗
Indiana @ Florida State	—	—	—	67–69	—
Georgia Tech @ Nebraska	+6.0	158.0	69%	75–64	✗
SE Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech	+7.4	141.7	81%	69–78	✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Baylor	—	—	—	52–83	—
Texas State @ Texas	+12.1	133.6	85%	53–74	✓
Southern @ Arkansas	+23.4	148.9	91%	44–79	✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Valley	—	—	—	81–71	—
Southern Miss @ Tulane	—	—	—	38–58	—
Southeast Missouri State @ Lipscomb	+1.8	141.3	52%	74–80	✓
Oklahoma @ Xavier	+4.4	158.5	73%	77–99	✓
Liberty @ Missouri	+10.6	138.5	82%	60–69	✓
Santa Clara @ Cal Poly	—	—	—	76–69	—
California @ Pepperdine	+7.7	141.4	81%	62–74	✓
Idaho @ Washington State	—	—	—	58–61	—
San Diego @ UCLA	—	—	—	56–83	—
Boise State @ BYU	+0.4	137.4	50%	74–70	✗
Denver @ Wyoming	—	—	—	61–83	—
Pittsburgh @ Northwestern	+11.5	153.8	68%	71–70	✗
Florida A&M @ Oregon	—	—	—	66–87	—
Seattle U @ Washington	-0.9	130.9	51%	41–73	✗
Mercyhurst @ Buffalo	—	—	—	64–81	—
LSU New Orleans @ Jacksonville	+8.6	138.2	83%	70–77	✓
North Florida @ East Carolina	+14.2	138.7	86%	67–73	✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota	-2.8	139.0	42%	75–71	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.