Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | NU -150 PITT +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -19.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -16.1 (-17.1) | 155.4 (-14.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -11.5 (-12.5) | 153.8 (-12.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -15.6 (-16.6) | 156.0 (-15.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -16.0 (-17.0) | 155.9 (-14.9) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2022 | PITT 87 – 58 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 6-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#26) | -2.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#129) | -1.44 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#126) | -2.45 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#231) | 0.406 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 47.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 52.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.65 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 92.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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