Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | NU -350 PITT +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +29 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -18.7 (-47.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -10.3 (-39.3) | 129.3 (+15.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -11.4 (-40.4) | 129.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -12.4 (-41.4) | 127.0 (+18.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -12.8 (-41.8) | 127.4 (+17.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2020 | PITT 71 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#42) | -2.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#42) | -0.61 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#27) | -0.69 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#51) | 0.466 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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