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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
17 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNC Greensboro
@
Coppin State
|
+0.4 | 144.8 | 65% | 80–86 | ✓ |
Troy
@
North Alabama
|
— | — | — | 62–57 | — |
Jackson State
@
Ole Miss
|
— | — | — | 45–80 | — |
Portland
@
Oregon State
|
— | — | — | 87–86 | — |
Kansas City
@
Minnesota
|
+12.0 | 134.8 | 86% | 61–90 | ✓ |
UC Riverside
@
Northern Arizona
|
— | — | — | 74–50 | — |
Gardner-Webb
@
Western Kentucky
|
— | — | — | 84–86 | — |
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
+1.1 | 137.4 | 43% | 68–64 | ✗ |
Long Beach State
@
San Francisco
|
+14.6 | 152.1 | 88% | 62–107 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
South Dakota State
|
+5.8 | 136.7 | 74% | 75–77 | ✓ |
San Diego State
@
Arizona State
|
+3.3 | 138.8 | 56% | 80–68 | ✗ |
Northeastern
@
Massachusetts
|
— | — | — | 79–94 | — |
North Texas
@
West Virginia
|
+6.4 | 140.6 | 70% | 50–62 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Seton Hall
|
+8.5 | 152.1 | 84% | 68–77 | ✓ |
App State
@
Charlotte
|
+2.3 | 130.7 | 50% | 61–57 | ✗ |
Rider
@
Manhattan
|
— | — | — | 82–64 | — |
South Dakota State
@
North Dakota
|
-4.3 | 143.9 | 30% | 74–62 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.