Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | AMCC +110 RGV -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -1.0 (-5.0) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.1 (-5.1) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.0 (-4.0) | 139.3 (-7.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.5 (-4.5) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 2-5 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#286) | -8.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#287) | 0.01 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.23 (#293) | -0.04 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#264) | 0.469 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.9% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.1% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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