The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Williams Arena · December 11, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread MINN -17.0 Home covered
O/U 141.0 Over
Money MINN -1800 / KC +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual MINN +29 151 Won
Massey MINN -15.4 (+13.6) — —
Massey Totals — 137.3 (+13.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MINN -12.0 (+17.0) 134.8 (+16.2) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MINN -14.6 (+14.4) 140.2 (+10.8) 86% ✓
Baseline ML MINN -14.5 (+14.5) 140.0 (+11.0) 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MINN -14.8 (+14.2) 138.4 (+12.6) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 10, 2021 MINN 71 – 56 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN KC
Overall 14-15 11-13
Conference 6-14 7-7
Home 13-4 8-3
Away 0-10 2-8
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 5-0 0-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.5 62.4
Avg Pts Against 73.2 64.6
Massey 3.2 (#98) -5.7 (#239)
Bradley-Terry 2.06 (#29) -3.07 (#295)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.97 (#37) -4.85 (#299)
RPI 0.594 (#55) 0.146 (#301)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN KC
FG% 44.4% 45.5%
3PT% 28.3% 36.1%
REB / G 39.8 26.5
OREB / G 12.0 7.5
AST / TO 1.46 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 52.0%
TOV% 15.3% 25.2%
ORB% 30.9% 23.1%
FT Rate 30.7% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.3% 58.2%
Opp TOV% 23.3% 26.6%
DRB% 70.9% 76.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 51.9%

Game Analysis

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