Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | WVU -1200 UNT +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -9.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -7.8 (+4.2) | 144.7 (-32.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -6.4 (+5.6) | 140.6 (-28.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -8.1 (+3.9) | 146.9 (-34.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -8.2 (+3.8) | 144.6 (-32.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#23) | 8.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#6) | -0.76 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.18 (#6) | -1.20 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.764 (#9) | 0.459 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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