Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | SF -1600 LBSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +45 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | SF -21.8 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -21.0 (+24.0) | 150.4 (+18.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -20.0 (+25.0) | 149.1 (+19.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -17.1 (+27.9) | 149.0 (+20.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -14.6 (+30.4) | 152.1 (+16.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | SF 84 – 54 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Home | 3-5 | 4-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#52) | -7.4 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#97) | 0.23 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#113) | 0.07 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#109) | 0.470 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.9% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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