South Dakota State
Jackrabbits
77
–
75
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Dakota Showcase
North Dakota State
Bison
Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | SDST -360 NDSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -9.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -6.6 (-4.6) | 136.6 (+15.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -5.8 (-3.8) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -7.6 (-5.6) | 138.2 (+13.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -7.7 (-5.7) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 66 SDST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 SDST |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NDSU 77 – 68 SDST |
| Jan 31, 2025 | SDST 72 – 62 NDSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SDST 78 – 61 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 11-5 |
| Home | 8-1 | 6-2 |
| Away | 4-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#74) | -3.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#61) | -2.38 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#89) | -4.03 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#34) | 0.419 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 45.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 38.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.