Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -160 UND +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -2.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -2.1 (-1.9) | 139.2 (+6.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -2.8 (-1.2) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.8 (-2.2) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -2.0 (-2.0) | 138.0 (+8.0) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UND 72 – 71 SDAK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UND 96 – 80 SDAK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 79 UND |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDAK 102 – 93 UND |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 66 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#223) | -2.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#273) | -1.46 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#273) | -2.29 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#228) | 0.394 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 20.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.