Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FSU -175 IU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -1.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -1.9 (+0.1) | 140.4 (-4.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -0.2 (+1.8) | 143.3 (-7.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -1.3 (+0.7) | 139.1 (-3.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 7-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#63) | 11.8 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#153) | 1.78 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#154) | 2.64 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#241) | 0.622 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 47.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 33.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.