Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -400 STBK +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -11.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.7 (-0.7) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -5.1 (-0.1) | 138.5 (+0.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -7.3 (-2.3) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.9 (-0.9) | 138.3 (+0.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 9-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#236) | -10.2 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#290) | -0.66 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#291) | -0.98 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#259) | 0.371 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 23.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 26.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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