Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | NEB +140 GT -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -11.9 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.5 (-34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -10.7 (-21.7) | 158.9 (-19.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.0 (-17.0) | 158.0 (-19.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -8.7 (-19.7) | 157.6 (-18.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -8.6 (-19.6) | 156.8 (-17.8) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 11-6 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#77) | 0.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#217) | -1.13 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#242) | -0.85 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#238) | 0.509 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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