Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–4 on winners spread MAE 10.3 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northern Kentucky @ Dayton +1.3 130.7 52% 60–66 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois -8.1 134.4 22% 79–70 ✓
Rider @ St. John's — — — 79–82 —
Kent State @ Detroit Mercy — — — 80–66 —
Campbell @ Jacksonville — — — 80–78 —
Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's +5.7 130.6 70% 57–75 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.7 152.3 67% 94–87 ✗
Bryant @ St. Francis Brooklyn — — — 101–82 —
Montana @ Georgia +8.9 141.2 82% 50–63 ✓
Coppin State @ Georgetown +5.8 140.9 72% 48–80 ✓
Boston College @ Minnesota +5.7 146.7 76% 80–85 ✓
North Carolina @ Iowa +5.2 152.3 69% 80–93 ✓
Ohio State @ Notre Dame -2.7 144.9 36% 90–85 ✓
Tennessee State @ Belmont — — — 64–79 —
Central Arkansas @ Saint Louis +19.3 150.7 90% 65–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Memphis +22.9 157.3 90% 57–94 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State — — — 78–83 —
Austin Peay @ Murray State +0.0 142.3 42% 57–87 ✓
Penn State @ Virginia Tech +7.0 143.0 64% 75–55 ✗
Jackson State @ Mississippi State — — — 59–82 —
Green Bay @ Marquette +20.2 146.7 91% 68–82 ✓
Illinois @ Duke -6.0 150.0 29% 83–68 ✓
Syracuse @ Rutgers — — — 69–79 —
UC Irvine @ USC +14.3 144.4 88% 56–91 ✓
UTEP @ Saint Mary's — — — 61–73 —
LSU New Orleans @ Campbell — — — 70–79 —
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago — — — 51–88 —
Bryant @ St. Francis Brooklyn — — — 91–93 —
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.7 154.1 68% 71–79 ✓
Rhode Island @ Wisconsin +5.0 139.9 71% 62–73 ✓
Furman @ Cincinnati -2.3 143.8 65% 73–78 ✗
Maryland @ Clemson +2.6 132.0 63% 51–67 ✓
Providence @ TCU +6.0 132.0 66% 79–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Miami (OH) +7.3 138.0 77% 57–67 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Richmond +12.5 154.5 84% 68–78 ✓
Toledo @ Michigan +3.3 145.6 64% 71–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.