Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | CLEM -130 MD +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -0.4 (+15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.9 (+14.1) | 130.3 (-12.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -2.6 (+13.4) | 132.0 (-14.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -3.8 (+12.2) | 129.8 (-11.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.0 (+13.0) | 131.4 (-13.4) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#29) | 17.2 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#18) | 3.21 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#15) | 5.53 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#51) | 0.806 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 56.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 42.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 64.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 13.2% |
Game Analysis
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