Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -4500 CARK +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +23 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -25.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -19.3 (+3.7) | 150.7 (+2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -21.8 (+1.2) | 156.2 (-3.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -24.5 (-1.5) | 155.3 (-2.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -24.5 (-1.5) | 153.9 (-0.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | SLU 96 – 61 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-5 |
| Away | 1-4 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#5) | -0.1 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#47) | -1.04 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#49) | -1.11 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#53) | 0.362 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 49.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.94 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 28.2% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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