Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -600 URI +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -6.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.2 (+4.8) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.0 (+6.0) | 139.9 (-4.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.4 (+5.6) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.5 (+5.5) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#57) | 7.6 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#150) | 0.97 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#147) | 1.86 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#168) | 0.569 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 40.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.1% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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