Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -17.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -14.0 (-11.0) | 148.5 (+12.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -16.4 (-13.4) | 148.0 (+13.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -18.1 (-15.1) | 150.1 (+10.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#120) | -9.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#60) | -0.35 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#60) | -0.65 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#93) | 0.750 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 29.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 35.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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