Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | MINN -330 BC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -8.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -7.6 (-2.6) | 148.8 (+16.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -5.7 (-0.7) | 146.7 (+18.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -8.2 (-3.2) | 151.5 (+13.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -7.7 (-2.7) | 151.3 (+13.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 4-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 3-5 |
| Away | 0-10 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#98) | 1.8 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#43) | 0.66 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#48) | 1.64 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#107) | 0.610 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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