Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -1.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -2.1 (+7.9) | 144.8 (+3.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -2.5 (+7.5) | 147.1 (+0.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -1.7 (+8.3) | 144.3 (+3.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#84) | 9.5 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#101) | 1.57 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#101) | 1.84 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#119) | 0.958 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 45.7 | 46.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 11.9% |
Game Analysis
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