And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Millett Hall · December 9, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -13.0 Away covered
O/U 139.0 Under
Money M-OH -1200 / WIU +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +10 124 Won
Massey M-OH -13.5 (-3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 137.5 (-13.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -7.3 (+2.7) 138.0 (-14.0) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -9.3 (+0.7) 139.8 (-15.8) 80% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -10.0 (+0.0) 140.0 (-16.0) 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -10.5 (-0.5) 140.1 (-16.1) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2021 WIU 79 – 67 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH WIU
Overall 12-11 7-15
Conference 9-8 5-9
Home 7-4 2-5
Away 5-6 4-9
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 1-1 0-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.0 72.7
Avg Pts Against 72.0 80.5
Massey -4.4 (#213) -10.8 (#275)
Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#198) -2.40 (#277)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.15 (#209) -3.41 (#275)
RPI 0.312 (#274) 0.340 (#264)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH WIU
FG% 38.2% 36.0%
3PT% 32.4% 25.5%
REB / G 35.5 39.0
OREB / G 11.5 13.5
AST / TO 0.71 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.7% 40.6%
TOV% 17.3% 18.9%
ORB% 29.1% 26.7%
FT Rate 18.7% 12.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.1% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 22.9% 15.7%
DRB% 66.7% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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