Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | WIU +140 M-OH -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -3.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.6 (+11.4) | 147.2 (-1.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -2.2 (+9.8) | 150.4 (-4.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -2.3 (+9.7) | 149.1 (-3.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -2.1 (+9.9) | 149.1 (-3.1) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2020 | M-OH 67 – 57 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#107) | 7.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#116) | 3.73 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#135) | 5.66 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#74) | 0.632 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 2.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 11.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 11.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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