Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -345 CCSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -10.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -3.7 (+4.3) | 151.5 (-1.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -2.7 (+5.3) | 154.1 (-4.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -3.3 (+4.7) | 153.1 (-3.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -3.2 (+4.8) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CCSU 63 – 57 FDU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FDU 76 – 66 CCSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CCSU 76 – 72 FDU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-6 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#262) | -12.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#287) | -1.22 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.37 (#293) | -1.66 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.301 (#279) | 0.477 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 16.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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