Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | UVU +175 SUU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -0.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.1 (-8.9) | 148.7 (+3.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -3.4 (-6.6) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -2.6 (-7.4) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 20-4 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 12-2 |
| Home | 8-4 | 14-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#253) | 0.3 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#175) | -0.07 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#171) | -0.06 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#135) | 0.427 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.3% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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