Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–4 on winners spread MAE 11.1 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota State @ UTEP -2.6 136.1 36% 66–76 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ LSU +23.4 153.4 91% 90–104 ✓
Princeton @ Temple +10.0 139.4 82% 61–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Wright State +8.0 136.5 75% 64–70 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida State +14.9 149.5 87% 63–87 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Saint Joseph's +4.3 137.0 67% 68–62 ✗
Bryant @ High Point +14.2 146.8 87% 47–93 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ West Virginia +26.3 136.3 91% 51–86 ✓
Stonehill @ Syracuse +17.5 135.3 90% 48–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Rhode Island +11.3 139.3 84% 77–85 ✓
Canisius @ Duquesne +10.9 137.0 86% 59–103 ✓
Rider @ VCU +24.5 135.5 91% 79–100 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Boston College +16.8 141.0 89% 61–72 ✓
East Carolina @ North Carolina +22.8 138.4 91% 51–99 ✓
Davidson @ Kansas +15.7 135.9 87% 61–90 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +10.3 152.8 83% 48–91 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +13.1 145.9 88% 67–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts -1.8 132.8 41% 69–57 ✓
Central Michigan @ Wisconsin +21.3 149.7 90% 61–88 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Grand Canyon +21.0 155.0 91% 78–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Texas +23.2 137.7 91% 71–94 ✓
Utah Tech @ Creighton +16.5 141.5 88% 69–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arizona +25.4 147.7 91% 71–107 ✓
Eastern Washington @ BYU +24.7 159.5 91% 81–109 ✓
UC Irvine @ Norfolk State -3.3 133.0 37% 89–70 ✓
Stetson @ Oklahoma +22.0 144.6 91% 54–107 ✓
San Diego @ Washington +18.2 147.9 89% 56–86 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Northridge +5.1 150.7 72% 88–100 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Saint Mary's +9.4 131.5 81% 58–63 ✓
Green Bay @ Campbell +0.4 144.8 54% 79–102 ✓
Binghamton @ Army +10.5 143.2 84% 85–95 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kentucky +23.4 146.7 90% 85–99 ✓
Grambling @ Ohio State +16.1 147.8 89% 63–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UCF +12.6 155.8 85% 80–85 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri State -1.6 141.6 44% 65–70 ✗
UC Riverside @ UCLA +17.6 147.4 90% 65–97 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.4 147.4 21% 63–64 ✗
Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount +20.7 138.8 91% 56–83 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +19.3 140.4 90% 59–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.