I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 9.1 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
The Citadel @ South Carolina +23.7 146.4 91% 55–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ West Georgia +2.7 147.5 63% 91–85 ✗
Arizona State @ Santa Clara +4.2 148.1 65% 82–79 ✗
Stanford @ San José State -1.4 143.8 43% 86–82 ✓
North Florida @ Dayton +18.8 155.0 91% 61–84 ✓
Indiana @ Kentucky +5.9 150.4 67% 60–72 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland -11.8 149.0 17% 101–83 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +14.5 136.3 88% 59–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Grand Canyon +9.3 134.1 80% 61–82 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +6.1 136.5 73% 88–89 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Louis +17.7 146.0 88% 75–85 ✓
SMU @ LSU +2.8 150.8 55% 77–89 ✓
UC Riverside @ BYU +23.4 151.2 91% 53–100 ✓
Arizona @ Alabama +1.2 168.2 45% 96–75 ✗
Pepperdine @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.3 139.4 55% 70–62 ✗
Tennessee State @ UNLV +5.1 154.3 70% 63–60 ✗
Mississippi State @ Utah -0.0 151.6 51% 82–74 ✓
Duquesne @ Nevada +11.3 151.4 84% 75–78 ✓
UCLA @ Gonzaga +20.0 141.1 89% 72–82 ✓
Tulane @ UC San Diego +12.6 150.8 86% 67–93 ✓
UTEP @ Hawai'i +13.8 133.2 86% 61–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia Tech +20.6 141.7 90% 53–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Temple +16.8 148.2 90% 67–95 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Iowa State +26.0 148.0 91% 53–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Minnesota +14.9 143.0 88% 53–89 ✓
Buffalo @ East Carolina -5.8 141.3 25% 70–73 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Missouri +16.1 146.1 88% 60–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Vermont +8.1 139.0 79% 59–66 ✓
High Point @ App State -9.6 141.4 18% 78–86 ✗
Monmouth @ Fairfield +2.5 146.0 58% 65–73 ✓
Ball State @ Campbell +7.6 141.0 78% 64–69 ✓
Indiana State @ Milwaukee +1.4 145.6 58% 70–68 ✗
Coppin State @ Radford +14.1 146.1 87% 77–107 ✓
Troy @ UAB +9.3 151.6 80% 86–85 ✗
Western Michigan @ Iowa +18.7 139.1 90% 51–91 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ New Mexico +14.7 159.9 88% 59–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Charleston +3.2 135.2 64% 67–74 ✓
Kent State @ Portland -0.6 162.2 48% 78–88 ✗
Queens University @ Wake Forest +15.5 159.9 88% 73–111 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.5 149.9 71% 77–81 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +6.0 139.8 70% 84–75 ✗
North Texas @ South Alabama +3.9 136.4 67% 58–57 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -0.4 134.4 51% 67–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.