Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–8 on winners spread MAE 8.5 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Georgia Tech -11.8 151.8 16% 73–74 ✗
Marquette @ Villanova +0.4 143.1 51% 85–80 ✗
Illinois @ Ohio State -2.2 146.8 41% 87–75 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU +4.5 150.8 70% 78–85 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +13.9 148.2 88% 61–83 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College +2.1 145.4 62% 75–80 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana -1.8 154.2 47% 68–74 ✗
VCU @ St. Bonaventure +4.8 136.9 68% 62–67 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan +3.8 141.8 70% 77–84 ✓
Buffalo @ Ohio +12.6 143.3 88% 70–91 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ball State +1.6 146.0 59% 81–72 ✗
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -12.2 134.6 14% 77–46 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +4.7 146.4 69% 71–67 ✗
Western Michigan @ Toledo +10.2 150.2 86% 63–88 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State +0.6 136.8 55% 73–53 ✗
Illinois State @ Murray State +5.2 129.2 69% 61–59 ✗
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago +9.0 143.9 83% 62–77 ✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss +2.1 139.3 61% 82–86 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood +3.4 135.0 65% 54–58 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas +13.1 141.0 88% 54–83 ✓
San José State @ Utah State +15.3 151.9 89% 61–82 ✓
Louisville @ Clemson +15.4 151.3 89% 64–70 ✓
Miami @ NC State +1.6 149.3 57% 68–74 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +10.8 144.2 87% 62–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -12.0 142.3 15% 72–39 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State +1.9 143.1 63% 71–79 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force +0.9 140.6 59% 83–72 ✗
Fresno State @ UNLV +10.3 145.3 85% 69–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +14.3 148.0 88% 58–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -13.7 146.8 13% 85–79 ✓
Northwestern @ Purdue +14.9 149.1 88% 96–105 ✓
Alabama @ Georgia -5.4 162.5 29% 85–76 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier +1.6 147.1 59% 77–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.