Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–10 on winners spread MAE 10.0 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ Florida +13.5 153.7 88% 63–85 ✓
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State +1.5 140.5 55% 54–70 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State +3.9 147.2 70% 66–75 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +11.8 149.2 87% 69–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +2.6 138.0 63% 77–69 ✗
North Florida @ Stetson -5.5 160.1 29% 79–71 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +11.3 150.4 88% 72–89 ✓
West Georgia @ North Alabama +17.4 149.9 90% 62–80 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky -2.2 151.2 38% 57–66 ✗
Western Michigan @ Buffalo +0.1 148.5 53% 97–64 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Akron +20.1 156.2 90% 63–73 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green -6.2 140.4 29% 91–84 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ohio +4.5 150.5 72% 82–84 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +5.6 156.6 72% 66–67 ✓
Colorado @ Iowa State +15.6 139.1 88% 65–79 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU -5.6 140.0 36% 66–69 ✗
Butler @ Xavier +6.3 153.3 77% 63–76 ✓
Illinois @ Wisconsin +4.0 158.6 74% 74–95 ✓
Air Force @ Wyoming +9.4 131.6 79% 62–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +0.8 151.6 55% 86–75 ✗
Houston @ Arizona State -9.7 134.5 16% 80–65 ✓
Seton Hall @ Marquette +17.5 133.2 90% 56–80 ✓
Kansas @ BYU +1.0 143.3 62% 57–91 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Boston College -0.3 145.9 44% 36–54 ✗
Nevada @ Colorado State +3.7 141.2 65% 71–79 ✓
South Carolina @ LSU +5.4 140.4 72% 67–81 ✓
Minnesota @ UCLA +12.2 133.7 86% 64–61 ✗
Fresno State @ San Diego State +17.2 137.6 90% 60–83 ✓
Temple @ Charlotte -2.5 152.3 51% 72–78 ✗
Massachusetts @ VCU +16.3 145.6 89% 51–80 ✓
American University @ Army +0.1 140.8 53% 69–76 ✓
Lafayette @ Holy Cross +1.4 134.8 57% 69–74 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -2.5 142.5 38% 82–43 ✓
Richmond @ La Salle +3.7 142.2 69% 63–58 ✗
Nebraska @ Penn State -0.2 147.4 50% 72–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.