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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–9 on winners spread MAE 11.5 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Le Moyne @ UConn +30.2 152.7 91% 49–90 ✓
Montana @ Tennessee +31.9 135.3 91% 57–92 ✓
Tennessee State @ Howard -3.0 140.4 37% 84–88 ✗
Georgia State @ Jacksonville State +6.4 144.6 77% 67–72 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ NC State +16.4 135.6 88% 70–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Bucknell +18.5 149.7 87% 93–89 ✗
Harvard @ Northeastern +4.6 148.5 70% 56–78 ✓
Wright State @ Toledo +12.6 153.7 86% 77–86 ✓
Wofford @ Presbyterian +9.0 144.0 77% 68–71 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.6 131.5 40% 74–65 ✓
Richmond @ Charlotte +9.8 151.1 67% 48–65 ✓
Ball State @ Dayton +21.8 138.0 89% 69–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ George Mason +12.7 140.5 84% 70–69 ✗
Milwaukee @ Longwood +21.5 144.5 87% 62–76 ✓
Canisius @ Mercyhurst +11.2 147.5 79% 52–62 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Wake Forest +17.5 142.4 89% 80–85 ✓
Merrimack @ VCU +15.8 135.2 84% 42–63 ✓
Evansville @ Middle Tennessee +23.7 139.5 89% 63–80 ✓
Southern @ East Texas A&M +3.8 150.0 59% 68–70 ✓
Kent State @ Auburn +24.3 139.4 89% 56–79 ✓
Louisiana @ Houston +31.0 138.4 90% 45–91 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas +4.0 137.5 63% 49–65 ✓
Green Bay @ Western Illinois +11.4 138.8 73% 87–73 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Tulsa +16.7 150.8 86% 76–85 ✓
California @ Vanderbilt +11.6 152.4 81% 69–85 ✓
Wyoming @ Texas Tech +16.1 145.7 84% 49–96 ✓
Seton Hall @ Hofstra +4.6 132.4 73% 48–49 ✓
North Texas @ Minnesota +10.1 134.9 79% 54–51 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Nebraska +19.9 142.4 89% 60–86 ✓
Houston Christian @ Creighton +19.8 148.1 87% 43–78 ✓
Oakland @ Illinois +35.3 144.8 91% 54–66 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Colorado +15.8 145.1 87% 53–83 ✓
Queens University @ BYU +21.0 143.3 88% 55–99 ✓
North Dakota State @ Santa Clara +12.7 149.9 73% 88–80 ✗
Fresno State @ UC Santa Barbara +27.5 139.8 90% 86–91 ✓
Weber State @ Nevada +19.3 135.6 88% 58–88 ✓
Long Beach State @ San Francisco +10.3 150.2 75% 54–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ USC +23.0 149.3 89% 95–98 ✓
Utah Valley @ North Dakota -5.9 141.8 25% 71–77 ✗
Lindenwood @ New Orleans -0.9 142.2 53% 74–82 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ IU Indianapolis +4.9 141.5 65% 74–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.