Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–4 on winners spread MAE 8.1 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Tulane -10.6 141.6 16% 80–60 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State +0.8 149.1 52% 82–83 ✓
Tennessee @ Mississippi State -8.2 122.8 23% 70–59 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso +0.3 139.1 53% 66–76 ✓
NC State @ Georgia Tech -6.2 145.3 29% 78–66 ✓
Florida State @ Notre Dame +5.2 143.1 71% 84–71 ✗
Boston College @ North Carolina +15.1 146.5 89% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ Butler -1.3 142.3 51% 73–52 ✓
Rhode Island @ Richmond +8.0 132.3 76% 57–64 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +11.3 130.5 83% 61–68 ✓
Massachusetts @ VCU +6.4 144.1 75% 55–83 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +5.6 159.3 69% 75–90 ✓
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan -14.8 144.0 12% 77–63 ✓
Akron @ Central Michigan -5.5 135.9 24% 69–51 ✓
Bowling Green @ Buffalo +2.2 158.2 65% 71–100 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ball State +11.8 148.5 86% 70–71 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +2.3 144.1 58% 81–77 ✗
Texas @ Iowa State +3.8 134.8 71% 67–78 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +15.8 129.9 88% 70–77 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt -9.0 156.8 21% 78–66 ✓
Penn State @ Wisconsin +1.7 133.8 57% 60–63 ✓
Clemson @ Wake Forest +2.1 153.2 60% 77–87 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech -0.0 147.9 53% 81–74 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +5.1 144.9 73% 65–80 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +6.2 137.0 74% 71–85 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force +5.1 136.3 70% 74–82 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +6.7 151.5 76% 71–75 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +10.2 143.0 84% 57–77 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +5.9 135.6 73% 62–77 ✓
Bucknell @ Army +6.7 144.6 63% 68–66 ✗
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +3.6 153.6 67% 75–81 ✓
Hartford @ Morgan State +16.4 143.2 90% 84–92 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall -2.0 137.1 46% 66–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.