They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–9 on winners spread MAE 7.6 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Duke +13.5 133.9 86% 69–68 ✗
Temple @ South Florida -4.7 125.8 35% 49–52 ✗
Presbyterian @ Hampton -2.5 131.9 40% 69–74 ✗
George Mason @ Richmond +5.3 140.4 74% 59–62 ✓
UTSA @ Middle Tennessee +15.3 142.5 89% 75–84 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech +11.4 134.8 86% 47–74 ✓
New Hampshire @ Stony Brook +2.9 143.7 62% 67–65 ✗
Chattanooga @ Mercer -5.6 139.6 31% 74–72 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -2.2 137.0 40% 68–49 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +11.2 131.2 87% 58–84 ✓
Lafayette @ Navy +10.3 130.8 85% 44–68 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State -4.8 146.6 33% 71–75 ✗
James Madison @ Drexel +4.4 152.2 70% 66–72 ✓
Austin Peay @ Belmont +18.5 147.7 90% 58–72 ✓
Howard @ Delaware State -13.5 136.2 13% 69–64 ✓
Texas Southern @ Bethune-Cookman -7.7 131.4 18% 66–63 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +2.3 142.2 58% 60–61 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -1.9 141.9 34% 68–74 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho State -11.6 140.3 13% 72–54 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +5.4 143.2 73% 74–76 ✓
UTEP @ North Texas +11.2 124.8 82% 58–66 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -4.0 130.6 28% 60–47 ✓
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -11.5 139.2 15% 79–71 ✓
Arizona @ Arizona State -12.9 146.3 15% 91–79 ✓
Kansas @ Texas +1.9 138.1 69% 76–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +2.7 152.4 61% 76–47 ✗
Southern Utah @ Montana -0.0 145.1 48% 67–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Southern +10.7 147.6 85% 58–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +5.2 131.1 71% 50–58 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +8.8 153.3 82% 60–82 ✓
Old Dominion @ Florida Atlantic +7.1 137.4 79% 62–81 ✓
North Carolina @ Clemson +0.9 154.4 53% 79–77 ✗
Marquette @ UConn +5.9 145.1 76% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.