I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 9.7 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Florida +2.4 140.8 61% 43–73 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Duke +12.0 137.8 77% 47–76 ✓
Kentucky @ Georgia +1.5 153.9 56% 69–82 ✓
Arizona @ West Virginia -0.3 142.1 41% 75–56 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Syracuse +0.3 154.7 52% 55–62 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville +4.5 144.9 75% 64–74 ✓
Ohio @ Buffalo -7.1 151.7 23% 88–79 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State +0.0 146.0 49% 80–72 ✗
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -12.9 133.4 15% 68–50 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Toledo +8.8 152.6 82% 87–90 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +5.1 143.5 74% 71–87 ✓
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan +2.9 147.8 62% 83–79 ✗
Tulane @ UAB +2.4 155.0 64% 69–81 ✓
Utah @ Iowa State +16.4 153.6 88% 59–82 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +12.1 141.8 87% 66–74 ✓
Cincinnati @ Baylor +6.3 139.5 82% 48–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +1.3 143.6 59% 66–79 ✓
Tulsa @ UTSA +5.4 151.8 69% 82–77 ✗
UIC @ Missouri State +0.2 143.2 49% 80–63 ✗
Nebraska @ Iowa +2.3 156.8 64% 87–97 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -2.3 135.1 40% 60–57 ✓
Auburn @ Texas -6.0 151.1 17% 87–82 ✓
Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt +0.8 154.6 46% 76–64 ✗
Fresno State @ Colorado State +11.9 151.0 86% 64–91 ✓
Texas Tech @ BYU +4.5 148.4 64% 72–67 ✗
SMU @ North Carolina +2.7 162.7 62% 67–82 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +7.1 150.7 81% 67–83 ✓
Michigan @ UCLA +4.1 141.6 68% 94–75 ✗
Utah State @ San José State -9.4 147.8 15% 85–78 ✓
New Mexico @ Wyoming -3.7 149.4 31% 61–53 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +7.4 137.7 76% 59–81 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's +13.9 134.9 86% 56–81 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +0.9 147.6 59% 72–74 ✓
Navy @ Holy Cross +4.9 142.9 64% 59–70 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +0.6 149.2 55% 66–68 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ La Salle +2.3 146.3 63% 79–68 ✗
DePaul @ Seton Hall -2.4 135.8 50% 80–85 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ App State +5.2 128.9 71% 51–74 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +2.3 138.2 61% 61–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.