Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | TEX +450 AUB -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +5 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -10.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -6.8 (+1.8) | 149.1 (+19.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -6.6 (+1.6) | 151.0 (+18.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -7.7 (+2.7) | 150.6 (+18.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -6.0 (+1.0) | 151.1 (+17.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | AUB 88 – 82 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 11-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#39) | 27.5 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#67) | 4.82 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#66) | 6.30 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.708 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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