Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BUF +550 OHIO -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +9 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -6.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -6.7 (-2.3) | 150.5 (+16.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -8.9 (-0.1) | 154.0 (+13.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -7.1 (-1.9) | 151.7 (+15.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -6.7 (-2.3) | 150.9 (+16.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | OHIO 95 – 83 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 80 BUF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 66 BUF |
| Jan 31, 2024 | OHIO 91 – 70 BUF |
| Feb 15, 2023 | OHIO 85 – 61 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#335) | -0.8 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#290) | -0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#321) | -0.23 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.504 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.