Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -2500 UTAH +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -16.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -13.2 (+9.8) | 152.1 (-11.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -14.5 (+8.5) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -14.5 (+8.5) | 152.4 (-11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -16.4 (+6.6) | 153.6 (-12.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | ISU 75 – 59 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#8) | 8.1 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.38 (#3) | 0.23 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.00 (#3) | 0.55 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#27) | 0.473 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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