Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +850 ISU -1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -15.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -12.8 (-3.2) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -12.5 (-3.5) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -12.1 (-3.9) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -13.5 (-2.5) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2025 | ISU 82 – 59 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-9 | 16-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#105) | 23.2 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#109) | 3.81 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | 4.61 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#189) | 0.633 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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