Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WVU +160 ARIZ -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +19 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -0.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -0.5 (-18.5) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -0.5 (-19.5) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -1.3 (-20.3) | 141.2 (-10.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -0.3 (-18.7) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ARIZ 88 – 53 WVU |
| Nov 29, 2024 | WVU 83 – 76 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#28) | 19.3 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#14) | 1.95 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.03 (#21) | 2.86 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#20) | 0.582 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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