So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–12 on winners spread MAE 8.7 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Notre Dame -16.4 142.2 7% 100–56 ✓
Cincinnati @ Texas Tech +10.8 142.0 84% 68–80 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +4.3 157.3 65% 61–90 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton -8.5 158.0 22% 62–77 ✗
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +0.9 144.6 53% 84–91 ✓
Northwestern @ Indiana +8.4 149.1 78% 72–68 ✗
Marquette @ Georgetown +4.1 152.4 65% 76–60 ✗
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +13.0 150.2 88% 88–79 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +13.8 149.9 90% 69–79 ✓
Massachusetts @ Ball State -6.6 143.4 28% 73–74 ✗
Central Michigan @ Kent State +11.8 160.3 86% 81–83 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +13.2 166.8 89% 85–99 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +12.6 137.0 87% 59–78 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +7.6 159.2 75% 88–97 ✓
Kentucky @ South Carolina -8.1 150.3 23% 72–63 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State -0.9 139.1 47% 76–71 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +8.4 144.5 78% 63–64 ✓
Bradley @ UIC +3.9 145.5 64% 86–93 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan +23.6 146.7 98% 67–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State +9.0 159.2 79% 84–89 ✓
Arizona @ Baylor -11.1 160.9 16% 87–80 ✓
Iowa State @ Utah -15.1 151.6 8% 75–59 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +6.1 142.9 71% 70–74 ✓
Arizona State @ TCU +6.2 151.7 71% 78–90 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +6.0 150.9 71% 62–72 ✓
Miami @ Florida State -3.7 159.9 37% 83–73 ✓
San José State @ Air Force -7.3 138.9 25% 86–80 ✓
Auburn @ Oklahoma -1.9 164.3 43% 79–91 ✗
Tennessee @ Missouri -6.5 147.1 28% 69–73 ✗
UCF @ BYU +11.9 168.5 86% 97–84 ✗
New Mexico @ Nevada -0.6 152.1 48% 60–67 ✗
USC @ UCLA +7.1 154.9 74% 62–81 ✓
Bucknell @ Army +3.1 146.1 61% 75–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Boston College -5.3 144.2 32% 67–68 ✗
Morgan State @ South Carolina State +0.8 155.1 53% 90–83 ✗
The Citadel @ Furman +16.6 139.9 93% 51–72 ✓
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -7.5 180.5 25% 86–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.