Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | BAY +300 ARIZ -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -11.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -11.0 (+4.0) | 157.0 (+10.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ARIZ -8.3 (+1.3) | 155.6 (+11.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -9.2 (+2.2) | 155.6 (+11.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -9.7 (+2.7) | 153.9 (+13.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2025 | ARIZ 74 – 67 BAY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 70 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 36-3 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 11-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#44) | 26.1 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | 4.97 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#58) | 6.23 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#102) | 0.675 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.